Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.182799 0.206070 0.230597 0.258317 0.288719 0.320991 0.357778
2025-05-18 0.155883 0.187985 0.223652 0.266021 0.314774 0.368908 0.433344
2025-05-25 0.131436 0.168316 0.211237 0.264463 0.328247 0.401767 0.492421
2025-06-01 0.113189 0.153097 0.201528 0.263913 0.341360 0.433530 0.550618
2025-06-08 0.098571 0.140286 0.192898 0.263043 0.352915 0.462925 0.606345
2025-06-15 0.089309 0.133063 0.190176 0.268665 0.372015 0.501615 0.674325
2025-06-22 0.079588 0.124020 0.183985 0.268820 0.383452 0.530485 0.730457
2025-06-29 0.071258 0.115922 0.178144 0.268603 0.393808 0.557768 0.784939
2025-07-06 0.064122 0.108732 0.172793 0.268353 0.403620 0.584195 0.838684
2025-07-13 0.058850 0.103733 0.170022 0.271265 0.417523 0.616172 0.900425
2025-07-20 0.055327 0.101038 0.170296 0.278335 0.437264 0.656446 0.974293
2025-07-27 0.050930 0.096488 0.167352 0.280310 0.449547 0.686549 1.034847
2025-08-03 0.047439 0.093241 0.166366 0.285431 0.467034 0.725152 1.109380
2025-08-10 0.044915 0.091372 0.167365 0.293544 0.489165 0.770979 1.195360
2025-08-17 0.040628 0.085983 0.162254 0.291720 0.496141 0.795071 1.251026
2025-08-24 0.037013 0.081411 0.158097 0.291050 0.504651 0.821449 1.310489
2025-08-31 0.033717 0.077071 0.153963 0.290067 0.512453 0.846810 1.368942
2025-09-07 0.031882 0.075329 0.154149 0.296137 0.531450 0.889295 1.453489
2025-09-14 0.029307 0.071846 0.150976 0.296291 0.540867 0.917413 1.517255
2025-09-21 0.026917 0.068474 0.147724 0.296050 0.549493 0.944402 1.579820
2025-09-28 0.024744 0.065309 0.144595 0.295775 0.557924 0.971169 1.642529
2025-10-05 0.023185 0.063295 0.143469 0.298927 0.572070 1.007124 1.719985
2025-10-12 0.022269 0.062613 0.144834 0.306582 0.593996 1.055833 1.818090